tonight
53°Flow
partly cloudy
2% precip · S 5 mph
detail
Partly cloudy, with a low around 53. South wind around 5 mph.
location:
Quad Cities, Rock River at the Mississippi confluence.
now:
9:40 pm CDT
No precipitation in the next 25 minutes
63°F
clear
14.2°F above the normal for this date
24h high
70 °F
2:52 pm
24h low
46 °F
5:52 am
dewpoint
50 °F
noticeable
wind
S 10 mph
gentle breeze
hourly:
issued 5:51 pm CDT
temperaturechance of precipitation
highest precipitation chance is 34% around 2:00 am (chance showers and thunderstorms)
forecast:
issued 5:51 pm CDT
tonight
53°Flow
partly cloudy
2% precip · S 5 mph
Partly cloudy, with a low around 53. South wind around 5 mph.
wednesday
77°Fhigh
sunny
2% precip · S 10 mph
Sunny. High near 77, with temperatures falling to around 75 in the afternoon. South wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
wednesday night
60°Flow
partly cloudy then chance showers and thunderstorms
34% precip · S 10 mph
A chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2am and 5am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. South wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
thursday
72°Fhigh
slight chance showers and thunderstorms then mostly sunny
16% precip · W 10 mph
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 72. West wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
thursday night
47°Flow
mostly clear
6% precip · NE 5 mph
Mostly clear, with a low around 47.
friday
67°Fhigh
showers and thunderstorms likely
68% precip · E 5 mph
A chance of rain showers between 7am and 1pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 67. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
friday night
52°Flow
showers and thunderstorms likely
68% precip · E 5 mph
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Cloudy, with a low around 52. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
saturday
67°Fhigh
chance rain showers
54% precip · E 5 mph
A chance of rain showers. Cloudy, with a high near 67. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
saturday night
53°Flow
chance rain showers
35% precip · E 5 mph
A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
sunday
67°Fhigh
chance rain showers
39% precip · E 5 mph
A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 67. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
sunday night
53°Flow
chance rain showers
25% precip · E 5 mph
A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
monday
68°Fhigh
chance rain showers
53% precip · E 10 mph
A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 68. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
monday night
52°Flow
rain showers likely
60% precip · E 15 mph
Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
tuesday
66°Fhigh
rain showers likely
60% precip · E 15 mph
Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 66. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
extended:
model blend, beyond where the official forecast stops
bars span the daily low to the daily high, tinted by expected conditions; the strip under each day is the chance of precipitation. 7 of 16 days show measurable precipitation; wettest is tue 11/3 at 0.95 in (rain).
the first week overlaps the official forecast above and is the better number to trust; past about ten days treat this as a trend, not a forecast.
radar:
served from markvd.net, not hotlinked
nearest NEXRAD site is KDVN. images are refreshed by the poller and cached here, so nothing on this page makes a request to a third party.
windmap:
surface flow, 3 to 20 mph across the frame
each line follows the wind from where it starts, so the lines show the shape of the flow rather than any one reading: where they crowd together the wind is confluent, where they turn sharply there is usually a trough or a front. color is speed, the dot on each line is its downwind end, and the marker is milan. grid average 7 mph. computed from a 7 by 5 sample grid, drawn once on the server. there is no animation because there is no javascript on this page.
detail:
full surface report
trace:
temperature and dewpoint
temperaturedewpoint
wind:
direction, speed and gusts
sustainedgusts · faint spokes on the dial are the last 18 direction reports, newest brightest
pressure:
0.00 inHg in the last 3 hours, steady
falling pressure generally precedes unsettled weather; a rapid rise behind a front brings the clearing and the wind shift.
humidity:
percent
station:
where these numbers come from
discussion:
DVN · issued 5:40 pm CDT
the reasoning behind the numbers, written by the forecaster on duty. worth reading when the models disagree.
- The better rain chances are Friday night into Saturday with the arrival of better moisture. Any rain prior to the weekend looks to be spotty at best.
- The global models point to a possible pattern change next week along with what may be a significant system in the Midwest.
&&
Issued at 204 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026
Mainly dry conditions through Wednesday as moisture below 10kft AGL will be very limited. At best some spotty sprinkles or isolated showers may be seen late Wednesday afternoon.
&&
Issued at 204 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026
Wednesday night through Thursday night Assessment...low (<25%) confidence on rain chances
Moisture transport into the area is very weak to non-existent in the low levels. Thus mainly dry conditions will be seen with the potential for some isolated sprinkles or showers. The current model consensus of higher rain chances is likely overdone.
Friday through Tuesday Assessment...medium (40-60%) confidence on late week rain potential. Medium to high (60-80%) confidence on the chances of a significant system next week.
Friday into Saturday a respectable surge of moisture will be transported into the area. This moisture is a combination of the remnants from Vance and the Gulf opening up. Just going on the progged arrival of the moisture, Friday night into Saturday would have the better chances for rain. The model consensus shows this with rain chances running 40-60% depending upon the location.
Several ensemble members show different timing for this moisture. Thus the model consensus has a 20-40% chance of rain Saturday night into Sunday. The various model solutions and their ensembles should begin to converge to a better timing over the next few days.
Next week has the potential to be interesting.
The various global models show a weakening of the 10 hPa mean zonal winds at 60 N suggesting the potential for a pattern change. So far the global models only show a temporary pattern change which is the result of all models developing a significant mid-latitude cyclone.
The models agree on the development of a large mid-latitude cyclone early next week. However, there are differences on where the system develops/evolves. These differences determine on how strong the system could become and where it eventually tracks.
The initial surge of moisture comes from a plume off the Pacific which helps develop the system. As the system develops, the Gulf opens up supplying even more moisture. The development area for the system ranges from the central to southern Plains.
Once developed, there is loose agreement between the global models that a sub 1000mb system develops, especially if phasing of the northern stream occurs. If phasing occurs, the system deepens and eventually occluding as it slowly moves east or east northeast. Thus the potential exists for a widespread rain if the system passes near or just south of the area. Such a track would also create windy conditions as the system strengthens.
Right now the model consensus is targeting the Monday/Tuesday time frame for the best rain chances. I would not be surprised if the better rain chances are delayed 12-24 hours depending upon when/where the system develops.
&&
Issued at 540 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026
VFR conditions to prevail through the period. South winds to increase ahead of a cold front Wednesday afternoon, with occasional gusts over 20kts. In addition, some light VFR showers/sprinkles may occur just beyond the TAF cycle Wednesday evening along with some lower VFR cigs.
&&
IA...None. IL...None. MO...None.
&&
normals:
1996-2025 normals, 30 years of this date
high today
70 °F
+14.6°F from normal
normal 55 °F
low today
46 °F
+4.9°F from normal
normal 41 °F
today's high ranks 3rd warmest out of 30 years of 27 oct on record here
running totals:
degree days use the daily mean against a 65°F base for heating and cooling and a 50°F base capped at 86°F for growing, which is the convention utilities and growers quote.
year:
366 days against the normal range
the pale band is the normal high to low range for each date; each bar is that day's actual range, tinted by how far its mean ran from normal.
air:
us aqi 58, moderate
58
moderate
unusually sensitive people should consider limiting prolonged exertion outdoors
source: Open-Meteo (CAMS). a modelled value for this point, not a monitor reading; set an AirNow key in the config to add the official reporting area value alongside it.
water:
mill creek at milan, il
gauge height
2.02 ft
steady, -0.01 ft in 6 h
discharge
29 cfs
falling
gauge distance
0.9 mi
usgs 05448000
below action stage
now 2.02 ft, 10.98 ft below the lowest published threshold · NWPS point RCKI2
gauge height over the last week. observations from USGS; flood thresholds, where shown, from the NWS National Water Prediction Service.
rainreports:
10 cocorahs observers reporting nearby
0 of 10 reported measurable precipitation, the wettest 0.00 in. these are hand-read gauges from volunteers.
hazards:
38 earthquakes tracked
local: within 120 miles, any magnitude
nothing on record for this window, which is the usual state of affairs.
us: united states, magnitude 4.0 and above
world: worldwide, magnitude 6.0 and above
space:
solar flux 89, k index 2.3
solar flux
89 sfu
low, 20m carries the traffic
planetary k
2.3
quiet
solar wind
373 km/s
bz +0.0 nT
x-ray flare
B5.9
1 h 15 m ago
stable paths, no storm effects.
planetary k index, three days. 5 and above is a geomagnetic storm.
hf bands, darkness here:
this is a heuristic from flux, k index and whether the sun is up here, not an ionospheric model. it will not know about a sporadic e opening on 6m or a gray line path that is wide open. for real planning use VOACAP.
sun:
10 h 35 m of daylight, losing 2.5 min a day
sunmoon · bands below the horizon are civil, nautical and astronomical twilight
the moon is down by full darkness tonight.
moon:
waning gibbous, 95% lit
waning gibbous
upcoming phases:
last quarter
sun 1 nov, 2:29 pm
new moon
mon 9 nov, 1:03 am
first quarter
tue 17 nov, 5:48 am
full moon
tue 24 nov, 8:55 am
last quarter
tue 1 dec, 12:10 am
new moon
tue 8 dec, 6:53 pm
first quarter
wed 16 dec, 11:43 pm
full moon
wed 23 dec, 7:30 pm
sky:
rise, set and where to look
magnitudes are approximate; lower is brighter, and anything under about +6 is naked eye from a dark site. saturn ignores ring tilt, which can move it a few tenths either way.
satellites:
9 visible passes coming up
next pass
ISS (ZARYA)
6:38 am
magnitude
-2.2
bright
peak
32°
in the NNE
visible for
8:33
NW to ESE
magnitude is approximate and lower is brighter; the ISS varies by about a magnitude with the angle of its panels. brightness fades as a satellite enters the earth's shadow, which is usually why a pass ends while it is still high in the sky. directions are where to look on the horizon.
planetarium:
9 of 21 above the horizon right now
satellite passes are the next visible pass for each tracked object, not a position right now: the glyph sits at the peak, and the faint part of the arc is where the satellite is above the horizon but in the earth's shadow, so too dark to see. point at any object or track to bring it forward and fade the rest. use the toggles above to hide whole groups. each body is drawn at its current position, with its track for the next 24 hours in the same color. dots on a track are whole hours, labeled every six. the faded part of a track is below the horizon. sizes follow real apparent diameter but on a compressed scale.
events:
conjunctions, comets and close approaches
upcoming:
comets brighter than magnitude 12:
positions computed here from Minor Planet Center orbital elements, not fetched per object. comet brightness predictions are notoriously optimistic: treat the magnitude as a rough guide, and anything fainter than about 8 needs a telescope.
minor planets:
asteroid close approaches:
source: JPL Center for Near Earth Object Studies. one lunar distance is 384,400 km. none of these are on a collision course; close approach lists exist because they are the routine traffic, not because anything is coming.
seasons:
seasons, eclipses and showers
seasons:
eclipses:
dates and type are computed from the geometry at new and full moon. local circumstances are not computed, so check whether one is visible from here before setting an alarm.
meteor showers: